Friday, February 26, 2010

Villar edges Aquino in trust ratings, poll shows

Original Story:

ONLY Senators Manuel Villar Jr. and Benigno Aquino III enjoy the trust of the majority of voters, Pulse Asia’s latest survey showed Wednesday.

The survey, conducted Jan. 22 to 26, showed that 70 percent of the voters polled had much trust for Villar compared with 64 percent for Aquino.

Eighteen percent said they were undecided about Villar, while 23 percent said the same of Aquino. Both candidates had the same percentage of voters (12 percent) saying they had little trust for the two candidates.

Aquino and Villar were statistically tied in the survey, in which 37 percent of the voters said they would vote for Aquino in the presidential election while 35 percent said they would choose Villar.

All the other presidential candidates had lower trust ratings among voters, including former President Joseph Estrada (33 percent), former Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro (32 percent), Senator Richard Gordon (26 percent), evangelist Eddie Villanueva (15 percent), Senator Jamby Madrigal (14 percent), financial consultant Vetallano Acosta (5 percent), Olongapo councilor JC de los Reyes (4 percent), and environmentalist Nicanor Perlas (4 percent).

Public assessment of the trustworthiness of administration candidate Teodoro was divided, with 36 percent of those polled being ambivalent toward him and 31 percent distrusting him.

And unlike Villar and Aquino, the other presidential candidates had higher distrust ratings than their trust ratings, with Estrada being distrusted by 37 percent, Gordon by 34 percent,

Villanueva by 53 percent, Madrigal by 47 percent, Acosta by 51 percent, De los Reyes by 50 percent, and Perlas by 54 percent.

Of the vice-presidential candidates, only Senators Manuel Roxas II and Loren Legarda were trusted by most of the voters polled (73 percent and 61 percent, respectively), while Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay was trusted by 44 percent.

The other vice-presidential candidates had higher distrust ratings than trust ratings, with former Optical Media Board chairman Edu Manzano getting 45 percent against 20 percent. The other candidates and their scores: former Metro Manila Development Authority Chairman Bayani Fernando (46 percent against 18 percent), TV personality Jay Sonza (57 percent against 10 percent), former Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Perfecto Yasay (58 percent against 8 percent), and Jun Chipeco Jr. (52 percent against 5 percent).

The nationwide Pulse Asia survey used a probability sample of 1,800 adults and had a ± 2 percent margin of error at the 95 percent confidence level. Subnational estimates for the geographic areas covered in the survey had the following error margins: 95 percent confidence level: ± 6 percent for Metro Manila, ±4 percent for the rest of Luzon, and ±5 percent each for the Visayas and Mindanao.

The same survey showed that nearly seven out of every 10 Filipinos (68 percent) distrusted President Gloria Arroyo, while only about one in 10 (11 percent) trusted her. Her ratings were the same as those recorded in December 2009 and were the lowest that she had attained since March 2001.

Mrs. Arroyo scored majority distrust ratings in every geographic area, including sub-regions and socio-economic classes ranging from 54 percent in Eastern Visayas to 82 percent in Western Visayas.

Public ambivalence toward the President was most pronounced among those in Northern and Central Luzon (26 percent), Eastern Visayas (27 percent), Northern Mindanao and Agusan and Surigao (33 percent).

The same survey showed that more Filipinos would probably not vote for a candidate endorsed by either Mrs. Arroyo or former President Fidel Ramos.

Fifty-two percent of those polled said they would surely not vote for any candidate endorsed by Mrs. Arroyo.

Another 22 percent said they would probably not vote for Mrs. Arroyo’s preferred candidate compared with 12 percent who said they would probably vote for her choice, and 4 percent who said they would surely vote for her anointed.

Forty percent of the voters polled said they would surely not vote for a candidate endorsed by Ramos, while another 25 percent said they would probably not vote for his choice. Twenty-one percent said they would probably not vote for Ramos’ choice, while 5 percent said they would.

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